Prishtina vs Dukagjini Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Prishtina vs Dukagjini: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Prishtina	Draw	Dukagjini
Model	57%	25%	18%
Market	—	—	—
Published	57%	25%	18%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.89.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Prishtina and Dukagjini expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.78Prishtina

0.89Dukagjini

Total expected goals: 2.67
Attack rating (Prishtina / Dukagjini): 1.49 / 0.88
Defence rating (Prishtina / Dukagjini): 0.82 / 0.81

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Prishtina vs Dukagjini score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 1 11.2% 12.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 3 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: Prishtina goals. Columns: Dukagjini goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Prishtina vs Dukagjini goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 50%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Prishtina vs Dukagjini

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Prishtina	57%	1.75
	Draw	25%	3.95
	Dukagjini	18%	5.71
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.01
	Under 2.5	50%	1.99
Both teams to score	Yes	50%	2.00
	No	50%	2.00
Double chance	1X (Prishtina or draw)	82%	1.21
	12 (either side)	75%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Dukagjini)	43%	2.33
Handicap -1	Prishtina win by 2+	33%	3.01
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Prishtina and Dukagjini recent form

Prishtina 6W 0D 0L

Dukagjini 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Prishtina at home

Record (W-D-L): 4-0-0
Win rate: 100%
Goals for / match: 3.00
Goals against / match: 0.50
Clean sheets: 3 of 4

They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Dukagjini away

Record (W-D-L): 1-3-0
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 0.75
Clean sheets: 2 of 4

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Prishtina at home only, Dukagjini away only.

Prishtina vs Dukagjini head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Prishtina 3 · draws 1 · Dukagjini 0.

75% 25% 0%

PrishtinaDrawsDukagjini

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-04-13	Prishtina	1-1	Dukagjini	Kosovo Superliga
2026-02-07	Dukagjini	0-1	Prishtina	Kosovo Superliga
2025-10-25	Prishtina	2-0	Dukagjini	Kosovo Superliga
2025-08-17	Dukagjini	2-3	Prishtina	Kosovo Superliga

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

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Drita vs Malisheva — team news & stats 2026-10-09
Vushtrria vs Gjilani 2026-10-10
Drenica Skënderaj v Feronikeli — match page 2026-10-10

Prediction snapshot Prishtina to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Prishtina