Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados preview
In the Liga de Expansión MX match between Correcaminos Uat and Dorados, the 1X2 probabilities show Correcaminos Uat at 51% to win, while Dorados sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both predicted at 68%, indicating a strong potential for a high-scoring game.
Correcaminos Uat's recent form is L-D-W-L-D-L, while Dorados has L-L-D-D-W-W. This recent performance could affect the outcome, as Dorados has shown some improvement with two wins in their last three matches. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados: model vs market
| Source | Correcaminos Uat | Draw | Dorados |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.46.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.52
- Attack rating (Correcaminos Uat / Dorados)
- 0.93 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Correcaminos Uat / Dorados)
- 1.12 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Correcaminos Uat goals. Columns: Dorados goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Correcaminos Uat | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Dorados | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Correcaminos Uat or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Dorados) | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Handicap -1 | Correcaminos Uat win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Correcaminos Uat and Dorados recent form
Correcaminos Uat
1W 2D 3L
Dorados
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Correcaminos Uat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Dorados away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Correcaminos Uat at home only, Dorados away only.
Correcaminos Uat vs Dorados head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Correcaminos Uat 1 · draws 0 · Dorados 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Dorados | 2-1 | Correcaminos Uat | Liga de Expansión MX |
| 2025-10-18 | Correcaminos Uat | 1-0 | Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
- CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Correcaminos Uat, previous: Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat: odds and pick
- Dorados, previous: Dorados vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo prediction