Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis preview

In the upcoming match between Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis, the 1X2 probabilities show Atlante FC at 42%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.

Atlante FC's recent form includes two losses followed by a win, a draw, and two more draws, while Atletico San Luis has a mixed record with three wins and three losses in their last six matches. This could affect the outcome, as inconsistent performances may lead to unexpected results.

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Atlante FC	Draw	Atletico San Luis
Model	42%	26%	33%
Market	—	—	—
Published	42%	26%	33%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.67Atlante FC

1.47Atletico San Luis

Total expected goals: 3.14
Attack rating (Atlante FC / Atletico San Luis): 0.78 / 1.01
Defence rating (Atlante FC / Atletico San Luis): 1.16 / 1.30

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.4% 5.3% 4.7% 2.3% 1.2% 1 6.2% 11.7% 7.8% 3.8% 1.9% 2 6.1% 8.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.6% 3 3.4% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 4+ 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%

Rows: Atlante FC goals. Columns: Atletico San Luis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 38%

Both teams to score: 64%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Atlante FC	42%	2.40
	Draw	26%	3.90
	Atletico San Luis	33%	3.06
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.65
	Under 2.5	39%	2.55
Both teams to score	Yes	64%	1.57
	No	36%	2.75
Double chance	1X (Atlante FC or draw)	67%	1.49
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or Atletico San Luis)	58%	1.71
Handicap -1	Atlante FC win by 2+	22%	4.53
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis recent form

Atlante FC 1W 2D 3L

Atletico San Luis 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Atlante FC at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-3-2
Win rate: 17%
Goals for / match: 1.17
Goals against / match: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 of 6

They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Atletico San Luis away

Record (W-D-L): 2-1-2
Win rate: 40%
Goals for / match: 1.60
Goals against / match: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 of 5

They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Atlante FC at home only, Atletico San Luis away only.

Other Apertura - 14 fixtures

Necaxa v FC Juarez — match page 2026-10-24

Before and after this match

Atlante FC, previous: FC Juarez v Atlante FC analysis
Atletico San Luis, previous: Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro: odds and pick

Prediction snapshot Atlante FC to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Atlante FC