FC Juarez vs Atlante FC preview
In the Liga MX fixture between FC Juarez and Atlante FC, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Juarez at 41%, Atlante FC at 31%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. The model suggests a 50% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score.
FC Juarez has expected goals of 1.45, while Atlante FC has 1.24. Recent form indicates FC Juarez has struggled, with a record of D-L-W-L-L-L, while Atlante FC has a mixed record of L-W-D-L-D-D. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC: model vs market
| Source | FC Juarez | Draw | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Juarez and Atlante FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (FC Juarez / Atlante FC)
- 0.76 / 0.78
- Defence rating (FC Juarez / Atlante FC)
- 1.30 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Juarez goals. Columns: Atlante FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Juarez vs Atlante FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Juarez vs Atlante FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Juarez | 41% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Atlante FC | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Juarez or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Atlante FC) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Juarez win by 2+ | 20% | 4.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Juarez and Atlante FC recent form
FC Juarez
1W 1D 4L
Atlante FC
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Juarez at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlante FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Juarez at home only, Atlante FC away only.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
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- Tigres UANL vs Leon 2026-10-21
- Toluca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Atlas vs Club America 2026-10-22
- Puebla v Monterrey — match page 2026-10-22
- Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas — team news & stats 2026-10-22
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Before and after this match
- FC Juarez, previous: Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction
- FC Juarez, next: Necaxa vs FC Juarez: odds and pick
- Atlante FC, previous: Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: odds and pick
- Atlante FC, next: Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis prediction