Atlas vs Club America preview
In the Liga MX fixture between Atlas and Club America, the 1X2 probabilities show Club America at 45%, while Atlas is at 31%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.57 for Atlas and 1.91 for Club America.
Both teams to score sits at 68%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 67%, indicating a strong chance for an exciting match. However, Atlas's recent form of D-W-D-L-D-L could hinder their performance, while Club America's mixed results of D-W-D-L-L-D might also impact their chances.
Atlas vs Club America: model vs market
| Source | Atlas | Draw | Club America |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 25% | 40% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atlas and Club America expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (Atlas / Club America)
- 1.05 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Atlas / Club America)
- 1.04 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atlas vs Club America score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atlas goals. Columns: Club America goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atlas vs Club America goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atlas vs Club America
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Club America | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atlas or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Club America) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club America win by 2+ | 21% | 4.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atlas and Club America recent form
Atlas
2W 3D 1L
Club America
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atlas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club America away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Atlas at home only, Club America away only.
Atlas vs Club America head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Atlas 1 · draws 0 · Club America 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Club America | 0-1 | Atlas | Liga MX |
| 2025-08-25 | Atlas | 2-4 | Club America | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
- Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa — match page 2026-10-21
- FC Juarez v Atlante FC — match page 2026-10-21
- Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Tigres UANL vs Leon 2026-10-21
- Toluca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Puebla v Monterrey — match page 2026-10-22
- Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul 2026-10-22
Before and after this match
- Atlas, previous: Necaxa – Atlas, 2026-10-17
- Club America, previous: Leon vs Club America: odds and pick