Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview
Santos Laguna hosts U.N.A.M. - Pumas with a 55% chance of winning compared to 20% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. Santos Laguna has shown strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas has only 1 win in their last 6.
The model suggests a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score. However, if U.N.A.M. - Pumas can improve their attacking output, currently at 1.07 expected goals, they might challenge Santos Laguna more effectively.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: model vs market
| Source | Santos Laguna | Draw | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Santos Laguna / U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
- 0.92 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Santos Laguna / U.N.A.M. - Pumas)
- 0.89 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Santos Laguna goals. Columns: U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santos Laguna | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 23% | 4.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Santos Laguna or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Santos Laguna win by 2+ | 29% | 3.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Santos Laguna and U.N.A.M. - Pumas recent form
Santos Laguna
4W 1D 1L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Santos Laguna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Santos Laguna at home only, U.N.A.M. - Pumas away only.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Santos Laguna 1 · draws 0 · U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4-0 | Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| 2025-07-13 | Santos Laguna | 3-0 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
- Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa — match page 2026-10-21
- FC Juarez v Atlante FC — match page 2026-10-21
- Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Tigres UANL vs Leon 2026-10-21
- Toluca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Atlas vs Club America 2026-10-22
- Puebla v Monterrey — match page 2026-10-22
- CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul 2026-10-22
Before and after this match
- Santos Laguna, previous: Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro prediction
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas, previous: Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: odds and pick