Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro preview
Atletico San Luis faces Club Queretaro with 28% probabilities for both a win and a draw, while Club Queretaro has a 45% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. Both teams to score stands at 55%, suggesting a strong possibility of goals from both sides.
Atletico San Luis has an expected goals figure of 1.17, while Club Queretaro is higher at 1.54. The recent form shows Atletico San Luis with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, compared to Club Queretaro's 4 wins in the same period. This form could impact the outcome, making it a competitive match despite the probabilities.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro: model vs market
| Source | Atletico San Luis | Draw | Club Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 28% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.72
- Attack rating (Atletico San Luis / Club Queretaro)
- 1.01 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Atletico San Luis / Club Queretaro)
- 1.30 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atletico San Luis goals. Columns: Club Queretaro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico San Luis | 28% | 3.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Club Queretaro | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atletico San Luis or draw) | 55% | 1.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Club Queretaro) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win by 2+ | 23% | 4.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Atletico San Luis and Club Queretaro recent form
Atletico San Luis
3W 0D 3L
Club Queretaro
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico San Luis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Club Queretaro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico San Luis at home only, Club Queretaro away only.
Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Atletico San Luis 1 · draws 0 · Club Queretaro 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Atletico San Luis | 3-0 | Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| 2025-08-23 | Club Queretaro | 3-2 | Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
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- Toluca vs Club Tijuana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
- Atlas vs Club America 2026-10-22
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Before and after this match
- Atletico San Luis, previous: Toluca v Atletico San Luis analysis
- Atletico San Luis, next: Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis prediction
- Club Queretaro, previous: Santos Laguna vs Club Queretaro prediction