CSF Bălți vs Petrocub preview
In the Moldova Super Liga match between CSF Bălți and Petrocub, the key figure is Petrocub's 81% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which reflects CSF Bălți's recent struggles, having lost their last 6 matches, while Petrocub has shown better form with 3 wins in their last 6 games.
The expected goals also highlight the disparity, with CSF Bălți at 0.63 and Petrocub at 2.73. While Over 2.5 goals has a 65% probability, the 44% chance for both teams to score suggests that CSF Bălți might struggle to find the net. If CSF Bălți can improve their performance, it could challenge the expected outcome.
CSF Bălți vs Petrocub: model vs market
| Source | CSF Bălți | Draw | Petrocub |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6% | 14% | 81% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 6% | 14% | 81% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSF Bălți and Petrocub expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.36
- Attack rating (CSF Bălți / Petrocub)
- 0.51 / 0.97
- Defence rating (CSF Bălți / Petrocub)
- 2.08 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSF Bălți vs Petrocub score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSF Bălți goals. Columns: Petrocub goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSF Bălți vs Petrocub goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSF Bălți vs Petrocub
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSF Bălți | 6% | 18.05 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.27 | |
| Petrocub | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| No | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSF Bălți or draw) | 19% | 5.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.16 | |
| X2 (draw or Petrocub) | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrocub win by 2+ | 61% | 1.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSF Bălți and Petrocub recent form
CSF Bălți
0W 0D 6L
Petrocub
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSF Bălți at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-6
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Petrocub away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-2
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSF Bălți at home only, Petrocub away only.
CSF Bălți vs Petrocub head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: CSF Bălți 0 · draws 3 · Petrocub 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Petrocub | 3-0 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-11 | CSF Bălți | 1-1 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-05-10 | Petrocub | 3-0 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-04-05 | CSF Bălți | 0-2 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-10-04 | Petrocub | 0-0 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-08-09 | CSF Bălți | 0-1 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-06-22 | Petrocub | 1-1 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
- CSF Bălți, previous: Zimbru vs CSF Bălți prediction
- Petrocub, previous: Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei: odds and pick