Zimbru vs CSF Bălți preview
Zimbru faces CSF Bălți with a strong 92% probability to win, while CSF Bălți has just a 2% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-0, which aligns with Zimbru's expected goals of 3.80 compared to CSF Bălți's 0.53. With Zimbru's recent form showing 3 wins and 2 draws, they are clearly in better shape than CSF Bălți, who have lost their last 6 matches.
However, the 40% chance for both teams to score indicates that there is a possibility CSF Bălți could find the net. Zimbru's confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the match outcome. If CSF Bălți can improve their performance, they might challenge Zimbru's dominance.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți: model vs market
| Source | Zimbru | Draw | CSF Bălți |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.80 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zimbru and CSF Bălți expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.32
- Attack rating (Zimbru / CSF Bălți)
- 1.13 / 0.51
- Defence rating (Zimbru / CSF Bălți)
- 0.76 / 2.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zimbru goals. Columns: CSF Bălți goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zimbru vs CSF Bălți
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zimbru | 92% | 1.09 |
| Draw | 6% | 16.18 | |
| CSF Bălți | 2% | 55.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.48 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zimbru or draw) | 98% | 1.02 |
| 12 (either side) | 94% | 1.07 | |
| X2 (draw or CSF Bălți) | 8% | 12.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zimbru win by 2+ | 80% | 1.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zimbru and CSF Bălți recent form
Zimbru
3W 2D 1L
CSF Bălți
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zimbru at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
CSF Bălți away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.29
- Goals against / match
- 3.57
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zimbru at home only, CSF Bălți away only.
Zimbru vs CSF Bălți head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Zimbru 8 · draws 1 · CSF Bălți 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | CSF Bălți | 0-4 | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-05 | Zimbru | 3-0 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-05-02 | Zimbru | 4-1 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-03-21 | CSF Bălți | 0-2 | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-11-09 | CSF Bălți | 1-3 | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-09-13 | Zimbru | 2-0 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-07-19 | CSF Bălți | 1-1 | Zimbru | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-05-18 | Zimbru | 3-1 | CSF Bălți | Super Liga |
| 2025-04-12 | CSF Bălți | 0-2 | Zimbru | Super Liga |
| 2024-09-28 | CSF Bălți | 2-0 | Zimbru | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2026-10-24
- Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți 2026-10-24
- Petrocub v Milsami Orhei — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Zimbru, previous: Milsami Orhei – Zimbru, 2026-10-18
- Zimbru, next: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru: odds and pick
- CSF Bălți, previous: CSF Bălți vs Politehnica UTM prediction
- CSF Bălți, next: CSF Bălți v Petrocub analysis