Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți preview
Dacia-Buiucani faces Sireți with a 45% probability to win and an expected scoreline of 1-0 at 14%. Dacia-Buiucani's recent form shows 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Sireți has struggled, with 1 win and 4 losses in the same period.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 35%, and both teams to score is at 42%. However, if Sireți improves their attacking play, they could challenge Dacia-Buiucani's defense, making the predicted outcome less certain.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți: model vs market
| Source | Dacia-Buiucani | Draw | Sireți |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.09
- Attack rating (Dacia-Buiucani / Sireți)
- 0.85 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Dacia-Buiucani / Sireți)
- 0.93 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dacia-Buiucani goals. Columns: Sireți goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dacia-Buiucani | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Sireți | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.40 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dacia-Buiucani or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Sireți) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dacia-Buiucani win by 2+ | 21% | 4.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dacia-Buiucani and Sireți recent form
Dacia-Buiucani
2W 2D 2L
Sireți
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dacia-Buiucani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sireți away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-4
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dacia-Buiucani at home only, Sireți away only.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dacia-Buiucani 1 · draws 1 · Sireți 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Sireți | 0-0 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-05 | Dacia-Buiucani | 3-0 | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2026-10-24
- Petrocub v Milsami Orhei — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Dacia-Buiucani, previous: Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani: odds and pick
- Sireți, previous: Sheriff Tiraspol v Sireți analysis