Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei preview
In the Moldova Super Liga fixture between Petrocub and Milsami Orhei, the 1X2 probabilities show Petrocub at 44%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 (10%). Petrocub's expected goals stand at 1.44, while Milsami Orhei has 1.07. Recent form indicates Petrocub has drawn twice and won three times, while Milsami Orhei has one draw and three wins in their last six matches.
However, the match could deviate from this forecast. Both teams to score is at 52%, suggesting a chance for goals from both sides. Additionally, with Over 2.5 goals at 46%, there is potential for a higher-scoring game than predicted. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei: model vs market
| Source | Petrocub | Draw | Milsami Orhei |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 1.07.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (Petrocub / Milsami Orhei)
- 0.92 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Petrocub / Milsami Orhei)
- 0.84 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Petrocub goals. Columns: Milsami Orhei goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrocub | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Milsami Orhei | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Petrocub or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Milsami Orhei) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrocub win by 2+ | 22% | 4.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Petrocub and Milsami Orhei recent form
Petrocub
3W 3D 0L
Milsami Orhei
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Petrocub at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-1
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milsami Orhei away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-2
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Petrocub at home only, Milsami Orhei away only.
Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Petrocub 5 · draws 1 · Milsami Orhei 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Milsami Orhei | 1-0 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-04 | Petrocub | 5-0 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-05-02 | Milsami Orhei | 0-3 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-03-21 | Petrocub | 2-0 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-11-02 | Milsami Orhei | 1-2 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-09-24 | Milsami Orhei | 1-1 | Petrocub | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-08-31 | Petrocub | 2-1 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2026-10-24
- Dacia-Buiucani vs Sireți 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Petrocub, previous: Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani: odds and pick
- Milsami Orhei, previous: Milsami Orhei – Zimbru, 2026-10-18