Updated

Moldova Super Liga · Matchday 15

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani

· Stadionul Municipal, Hincesti

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was Petrocub to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PetrocubDrawDacia-Buiucani

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePetrocubDrawDacia-Buiucani
Model48%27%25%
Market66%21%13%
Published62%23%16%
Edge-18%+6%+13%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.13.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Petrocub, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-16.

Opened 1.33Now 1.35 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Petrocub1.331.35+0.02
Draw4.304.24-0.06
Dacia-Buiucani7.607.00-0.60

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Petrocub and Dacia-Buiucani expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.64Petrocub
1.13Dacia-Buiucani
Total expected goals
2.78
Attack rating (Petrocub / Dacia-Buiucani)
1.01 / 0.91
Defence rating (Petrocub / Dacia-Buiucani)
0.92 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6% 1 9.1% 12.8% 6.6% 2.5% 0.9% 2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 3 4.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 2.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Rows: Petrocub goals. Columns: Dacia-Buiucani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Petrocub62%1.62
Draw23%4.44
Dacia-Buiucani16%6.28
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.91
Under 2.548%2.10
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.79
No44%2.27
Double chance1X (Petrocub or draw)84%1.19
12 (either side)77%1.29
X2 (draw or Dacia-Buiucani)38%2.60
Handicap -1Petrocub win by 2+26%3.85
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Petrocub and Dacia-Buiucani recent form

Petrocub 3W 2D 1L
Dacia-Buiucani 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Petrocub at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Win rate
71%
Goals for / match
2.57
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 7
  • They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dacia-Buiucani away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
1.14
Goals against / match
0.86
Clean sheets
3 of 7
  • They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Petrocub at home only, Dacia-Buiucani away only.

Petrocub vs Dacia-Buiucani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Petrocub 8 · draws 1 · Dacia-Buiucani 1.

PetrocubDrawsDacia-Buiucani
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-15Dacia-Buiucani2-1PetrocubMoldova Super Liga
2026-06-28Petrocub2-1Dacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga
2026-04-18Dacia-Buiucani1-2PetrocubMoldova Super Liga
2026-03-08Petrocub3-0Dacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga
2025-11-22Petrocub3-1Dacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga
2025-09-20Dacia-Buiucani0-2PetrocubMoldova Super Liga
2025-07-27Petrocub2-1Dacia-BuiucaniMoldova Super Liga
2024-10-27Dacia-Buiucani0-0PetrocubSuper Liga
2024-08-25Petrocub2-0Dacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga
2024-05-04Petrocub7-0Dacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga

Other Matchday 15 fixtures

Before and after this match