CSF Bălți vs Sireți preview
CSF Bălți faces Sireți in the Moldova Super Liga, with the market showing a 16% chance for a CSF Bălți win, 28% for a draw, and a 56% chance for Sireți to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 14% probability. CSF Bălți has struggled recently, losing their last six matches, while Sireți has not won in their last four but has managed two draws.
The expected goals suggest CSF Bălți will score 0.74, while Sireți is expected to net 1.57. With Over 2.5 goals being at 41% and both teams to score at 42%, the match could see fewer goals than anticipated if CSF Bălți's poor form continues.
CSF Bălți vs Sireți: model vs market
| Source | CSF Bălți | Draw | Sireți |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 28% | 56% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 28% | 56% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.74.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSF Bălți and Sireți expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.31
- Attack rating (CSF Bălți / Sireți)
- 0.50 / 0.58
- Defence rating (CSF Bălți / Sireți)
- 2.04 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSF Bălți vs Sireți score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSF Bălți goals. Columns: Sireți goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSF Bălți vs Sireți goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSF Bălți vs Sireți
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSF Bălți | 16% | 6.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Sireți | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| No | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSF Bălți or draw) | 44% | 2.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Sireți) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sireți win by 2+ | 31% | 3.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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CSF Bălți and Sireți recent form
CSF Bălți
0W 0D 6L
Sireți
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSF Bălți at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Sireți away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSF Bălți at home only, Sireți away only.
CSF Bălți vs Sireți head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CSF Bălți 0 · draws 1 · Sireți 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Sireți | 1-1 | CSF Bălți | Moldova Super Liga |
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