Coleraine FC vs Glentoran preview
Coleraine FC faces Glentoran with a 44% chance of winning compared to 28% for Glentoran and 28% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% probability. Coleraine FC has an expected goals figure of 1.52, while Glentoran sits at 1.15.
Both teams to score stands at 55%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Recent form shows Coleraine FC with three wins in their last six matches, while Glentoran has four wins in their last six. This form could influence the match's dynamics, potentially leading to an unexpected result.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran: model vs market
| Source | Coleraine FC | Draw | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Coleraine FC and Glentoran expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Coleraine FC / Glentoran)
- 1.35 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Coleraine FC / Glentoran)
- 0.96 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Coleraine FC goals. Columns: Glentoran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Coleraine FC vs Glentoran
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Glentoran | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Coleraine FC or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Glentoran) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Coleraine FC and Glentoran recent form
Coleraine FC
5W 0D 1L
Glentoran
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Coleraine FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 10 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Glentoran away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Coleraine FC at home only, Glentoran away only.
Coleraine FC vs Glentoran head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Coleraine FC 3 · draws 2 · Glentoran 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Glentoran | 1-2 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-04-25 | Coleraine FC | 6-2 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-03-21 | Glentoran | 1-1 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-02-03 | Glentoran | 2-1 | Coleraine FC | League Cup |
| 2025-12-19 | Glentoran | 2-1 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-09-19 | Coleraine FC | 1-2 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-04-01 | Glentoran | 2-1 | Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| 2025-02-14 | Coleraine FC | 1-2 | Glentoran | Premiership |
| 2024-10-26 | Coleraine FC | 2-1 | Glentoran | Premiership |
| 2024-08-20 | Glentoran | 0-0 | Coleraine FC | Premiership |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Larne vs Portadown 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Coleraine FC, previous: Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC: odds and pick
- Glentoran, previous: Glentoran vs Ballymena United: odds and pick