Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC preview
In the upcoming match between Crusaders FC and Coleraine FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Coleraine FC at 59%, making them the favorites, while Crusaders FC sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. Coleraine FC's recent form includes 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while Crusaders FC has lost 3 of their last 5.
The model predicts a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 68%. However, if Crusaders FC can improve their defense, they might limit Coleraine FC's scoring opportunities, which could lead to a lower-scoring match than expected.
Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC: model vs market
| Source | Crusaders FC | Draw | Coleraine FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Crusaders FC and Coleraine FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.68
- Attack rating (Crusaders FC / Coleraine FC)
- 0.90 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Crusaders FC / Coleraine FC)
- 1.30 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Crusaders FC goals. Columns: Coleraine FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crusaders FC | 20% | 4.94 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.80 | |
| Coleraine FC | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Crusaders FC or draw) | 41% | 2.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Coleraine FC) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win by 2+ | 38% | 2.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Crusaders FC and Coleraine FC recent form
Crusaders FC
2W 0D 4L
Coleraine FC
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Crusaders FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Coleraine FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Crusaders FC at home only, Coleraine FC away only.
Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Crusaders FC 4 · draws 0 · Coleraine FC 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Coleraine FC | 4-1 | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-01-17 | Coleraine FC | 5-1 | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-01-09 | Coleraine FC | 4-0 | Crusaders FC | Irish Cup |
| 2025-11-29 | Crusaders FC | 0-2 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-09-06 | Crusaders FC | 0-4 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-05-07 | Coleraine FC | 1-0 | Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2025-04-19 | Crusaders FC | 3-0 | Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| 2025-01-18 | Coleraine FC | 0-2 | Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2024-11-24 | Coleraine FC | 1-2 | Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2024-11-05 | Crusaders FC | 2-1 | Coleraine FC | League Cup |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Portadown vs Linfield 2026-10-23
- Carrick Rangers v Limavady United — match page 2026-10-24
- Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Glentoran vs Ballymena United 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Crusaders FC, previous: Ballymena United – Crusaders FC, 2026-10-17
- Coleraine FC, previous: Larne – Coleraine FC, 2026-10-16