Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United preview
In the Northern Ireland Premiership, Carrick Rangers face Limavady United with a 54% probability for a Carrick win and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score also at 64%.
However, Carrick Rangers have shown mixed recent form with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Limavady United has been more consistent with 4 wins in their last 6. This inconsistency could impact the expected goals of 2.03 for Carrick Rangers and 1.27 for Limavady United, potentially leading to a different outcome than predicted.
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United: model vs market
| Source | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.27.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Carrick Rangers and Limavady United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Carrick Rangers / Limavady United)
- 1.28 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Carrick Rangers / Limavady United)
- 1.14 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Carrick Rangers goals. Columns: Limavady United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Limavady United | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Carrick Rangers or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Limavady United) | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Carrick Rangers and Limavady United recent form
Carrick Rangers
2W 2D 2L
Limavady United
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Carrick Rangers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Limavady United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Carrick Rangers at home only, Limavady United away only.
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Carrick Rangers 1 · draws 0 · Limavady United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Limavady United | 1-2 | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Carrick Rangers, previous: Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: odds and pick
- Limavady United, previous: Glentoran vs Limavady United prediction