Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC preview
In the match between Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Dungannon Swifts at 35%, Cliftonville FC at 33%, and a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Both teams to score stands at 46%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 38%.
Recent form indicates Dungannon Swifts have struggled with 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Cliftonville FC has lost 4 in a row before winning their latest game. The expected goals are close, with Dungannon Swifts at 1.11 and Cliftonville FC at 1.09. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. This could change if either team improves their form significantly.
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC: model vs market
| Source | Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Dungannon Swifts / Cliftonville FC)
- 0.76 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Dungannon Swifts / Cliftonville FC)
- 1.09 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dungannon Swifts goals. Columns: Cliftonville FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Cliftonville FC | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dungannon Swifts or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Cliftonville FC) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win by 2+ | 15% | 6.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dungannon Swifts and Cliftonville FC recent form
Dungannon Swifts
0W 2D 4L
Cliftonville FC
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dungannon Swifts at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cliftonville FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dungannon Swifts at home only, Cliftonville FC away only.
Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dungannon Swifts 5 · draws 2 · Cliftonville FC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Cliftonville FC | 0-2 | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-05-09 | Cliftonville FC | 1-2 | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-04-18 | Cliftonville FC | 1-0 | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-04-03 | Cliftonville FC | 0-0 | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup |
| 2026-02-13 | Dungannon Swifts | 3-2 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-11-08 | Cliftonville FC | 2-0 | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-09-20 | Dungannon Swifts | 2-1 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-05-03 | Cliftonville FC | 1-1 | Dungannon Swifts | Irish Cup |
| 2025-03-12 | Cliftonville FC | 0-2 | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| 2024-11-09 | Dungannon Swifts | 1-4 | Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Carrick Rangers v Limavady United — match page 2026-10-24
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Before and after this match
- Dungannon Swifts, previous: Bangor v Dungannon Swifts analysis
- Cliftonville FC, previous: Cliftonville FC v Portadown analysis