Asane vs Sogndal: model vs market
| Source | Asane | Draw | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.61.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asane and Sogndal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.53
- Attack rating (Asane / Sogndal)
- 0.82 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Asane / Sogndal)
- 1.16 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asane vs Sogndal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asane goals. Columns: Sogndal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asane vs Sogndal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asane vs Sogndal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Sogndal | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asane or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Sogndal) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sogndal win by 2+ | 25% | 3.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asane and Sogndal recent form
Asane
0W 4D 2L
Sogndal
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asane at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sogndal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-8
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asane at home only, Sogndal away only.
Asane vs Sogndal head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Asane 0 · draws 1 · Sogndal 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sogndal | 2-0 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-30 | Asane | 1-1 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-16 | Sogndal | 2-0 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Strommen — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- ODD Ballklubb vs Bryne 2026-10-11
- Kongsvinger v Ranheim — match page 2026-10-11
- Sandnes ULF vs Haugesund — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Raufoss v Moss — match page 2026-10-11
- Egersund vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Lyn vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-11