Egersund vs hodd: model vs market
| Source | Egersund | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 21% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Edge | -18% | -2% | +19% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Egersund vs hodd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Egersund, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egersund | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.19 | +0.04 |
| hodd | 4.13 | 4.15 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Egersund and hodd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.48
- Attack rating (Egersund / hodd)
- 0.92 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Egersund / hodd)
- 1.31 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Egersund vs hodd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Egersund goals. Columns: hodd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Egersund vs hodd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 80%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Egersund vs hodd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 | |
| hodd | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 18% | 5.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80% | 1.24 |
| No | 20% | 5.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Egersund or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or hodd) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win by 2+ | 22% | 4.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Egersund and hodd recent form
Egersund
1W 3D 2L
hodd
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Egersund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
hodd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.42
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Egersund at home only, hodd away only.
Egersund vs hodd head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Egersund 0 · draws 1 · hodd 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | hodd | 3-1 | Egersund | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-11-01 | Egersund | 0-0 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-07-30 | hodd | 1-0 | Egersund | Norway 1. Division |
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