Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom preview
In the Poland Cup fixture, Chrobry Głogów faces Polonia Bytom with 27% and 43% probabilities to win, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. Chrobry Głogów has an expected goals figure of 1.02, while Polonia Bytom stands at 1.35.
Chrobry Głogów's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 losses, while Polonia Bytom has 3 wins and 3 draws. This trend could impact the match outcome, as Polonia Bytom has won both of their last encounters against Chrobry Głogów. The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 42%, and both teams to score is at 49%, indicating potential for a competitive match.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom: model vs market
| Source | Chrobry Głogów | Draw | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Chrobry Głogów / Polonia Bytom)
- 0.74 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Chrobry Głogów / Polonia Bytom)
- 0.99 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chrobry Głogów goals. Columns: Polonia Bytom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chrobry Głogów | 25% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Polonia Bytom | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chrobry Głogów or draw) | 52% | 1.92 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Polonia Bytom) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polonia Bytom win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Bytom recent form
Chrobry Głogów
1W 2D 3L
Polonia Bytom
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polonia Bytom away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Chrobry Głogów at home only, Polonia Bytom away only.
Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Bytom head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Chrobry Głogów 0 · draws 0 · Polonia Bytom 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Polonia Bytom | 3-2 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2025-12-07 | Polonia Bytom | 2-0 | Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| 2025-07-26 | Chrobry Głogów | 0-1 | Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock — match page 2026-10-28
- Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Polonia Środa vs Śląsk Wrocław II — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Avia Świdnik vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce 2026-10-29
- Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów 2026-10-29
- Odra Opole vs Slask Wroclaw 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Chrobry Głogów, previous: Stal Mielec – Chrobry Głogów, 2026-10-24
- Polonia Bytom, previous: Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction