Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow preview
In the upcoming match between Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow, the 1X2 probabilities show Widzew Łódź at 40%, Wisla Krakow at 33%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 49%.
Widzew Łódź's recent form includes three draws and two losses, while Wisla Krakow has two wins, a draw, and two losses. The expected goals are 1.27 for Widzew Łódź and 1.37 for Wisla Krakow. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Factors like team performance on the day could influence the outcome.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow: model vs market
| Source | Widzew Łódź | Draw | Wisla Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | -9% | +2% | +7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Widzew Łódź / Wisla Krakow)
- 0.95 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Widzew Łódź / Wisla Krakow)
- 0.96 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Widzew Łódź goals. Columns: Wisla Krakow goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widzew Łódź | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Wisla Krakow | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Widzew Łódź or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Wisla Krakow) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Widzew Łódź win by 2+ | 15% | 6.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Widzew Łódź and Wisla Krakow recent form
Widzew Łódź
0W 4D 2L
Wisla Krakow
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Widzew Łódź at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wisla Krakow away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Widzew Łódź at home only, Wisla Krakow away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Widzew Łódź, previous: Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź: odds and pick
- Wisla Krakow, previous: Legia Warszawa – Wisla Krakow, 2026-10-11