Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park: model vs market
| Source | Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 22% | 8% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Published | 63% | 23% | 13% |
| Edge | +9% | -2% | -7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Raith Rovers below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Raith Rovers, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.50 | 1.48 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.82 | -0.08 |
| Queen's Park | 6.10 | 6.00 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.36
- Attack rating (Raith Rovers / Queen's Park)
- 1.23 / 0.57
- Defence rating (Raith Rovers / Queen's Park)
- 0.81 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raith Rovers goals. Columns: Queen's Park goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Queen's Park | 13% | 7.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 2.99 |
| No | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raith Rovers or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Queen's Park) | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win by 2+ | 44% | 2.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park recent form
Raith Rovers
3W 1D 2L
Queen's Park
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raith Rovers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Queen's Park away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Raith Rovers at home only, Queen's Park away only.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Raith Rovers 3 · draws 1 · Queen's Park 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Queen's Park | 1-2 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-04-14 | Queen's Park | 0-2 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-01-24 | Raith Rovers | 4-1 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-11-08 | Queen's Park | 2-1 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-08-02 | Raith Rovers | 1-1 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
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