Dundee vs Rangers preview
Dundee faces Rangers with a 1X2 probability of 17% for Dundee, 21% for a draw, and 62% for Rangers. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. Rangers have shown strong recent form, winning their last 6 matches, while Dundee has a mixed record with 3 wins in their last 6.
While the model suggests a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score, Dundee's expected goals are 1.12 and Rangers' are 1.15. If Dundee can improve their scoring, they might challenge Rangers more than anticipated. However, Rangers' consistent winning streak makes them the clear favorites in this match.
Dundee vs Rangers: model vs market
| Source | Dundee | Draw | Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| Published | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Edge | +21% | +12% | -33% |
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dundee vs Rangers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rangers, 50 snapshots since 2026-09-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 7.67 | 7.55 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 4.78 | 4.95 | +0.17 |
| Rangers | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dundee and Rangers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.27
- Attack rating (Dundee / Rangers)
- 1.09 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Dundee / Rangers)
- 0.94 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dundee vs Rangers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dundee goals. Columns: Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dundee vs Rangers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dundee vs Rangers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dundee | 18% | 5.66 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Rangers | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dundee or draw) | 40% | 2.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Rangers) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rangers win by 2+ | 15% | 6.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dundee and Rangers recent form
Dundee
3W 1D 2L
Rangers
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dundee at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rangers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dundee at home only, Rangers away only.
Dundee vs Rangers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Dundee 0 · draws 1 · Rangers 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Rangers | 3-0 | Dundee | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-11-09 | Dundee | 0-3 | Rangers | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-08-09 | Rangers | 1-1 | Dundee | Scotland Premiership |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hibernian vs Falkirk — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 2026-10-17
- Aberdeen v ST Mirren — match page 2026-10-17
- ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd 2026-10-17
- Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Dundee, previous: Falkirk – Dundee, 2026-10-10
- Rangers, previous: Rangers vs Kilmarnock: odds and pick