Updated

Serbia Super Liga · Matchday 2

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

· Čika Dača Stadium, Kragujevac

Alin prediction Radnicki 1923 to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Radnicki 1923DrawŽelezničar Pančevo
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo preview

In the Serbia Super Liga fixture, Radnicki 1923 has a 36% chance to win against Železničar Pančevo, who has a 33% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 11% of the time according to our model. Both teams to score has a probability of 47%, indicating a close match where defenses could play a key role.

Radnicki 1923's expected goals stand at 1.17, while Železničar Pančevo is slightly lower at 1.10. Recent form shows Radnicki with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 6, while Železničar has 5 wins in the same period. A draw is also a possibility with a 31% probability, which could affect the outcome if both teams are defensively solid.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRadnicki 1923DrawŽelezničar Pančevo
Model36%31%33%
Market———
Published36%31%33%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.17Radnicki 1923
1.10Železničar Pančevo
Total expected goals
2.27
Attack rating (Radnicki 1923 / Železničar Pančevo)
1.08 / 1.06
Defence rating (Radnicki 1923 / Železničar Pančevo)
0.92 / 0.72

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.6% 10.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.8% 1 10.7% 14.6% 7.3% 2.7% 0.9% 2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 3 2.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Radnicki 1923 goals. Columns: Železničar Pančevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 20%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Radnicki 192336%2.77
Draw31%3.20
Železničar Pančevo33%3.06
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.52
Under 2.560%1.66
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.11
No53%1.90
Double chance1X (Radnicki 1923 or draw)67%1.48
12 (either side)69%1.45
X2 (draw or Železničar Pančevo)64%1.57
Handicap -1Radnicki 1923 win by 2+16%6.35
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Radnicki 1923 and Železničar Pančevo recent form

Radnicki 1923 3W 1D 2L
Železničar Pančevo 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Radnicki 1923 at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Železničar Pančevo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki 1923 at home only, Železničar Pančevo away only.

Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Radnicki 1923 5 · draws 2 · Železničar Pančevo 3.

Radnicki 1923DrawsŽelezničar Pančevo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-29Železničar Pančevo1-0Radnicki 1923Serbia Super Liga
2025-07-27Radnicki 19231-1Železničar PančevoSerbia Super Liga
2024-11-24Železničar Pančevo1-1Radnicki 1923Super Liga
2024-07-19Radnicki 19232-3Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
2024-03-13Radnicki 19233-0Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
2023-10-01Železničar Pančevo0-2Radnicki 1923Super Liga
2022-05-29Radnicki 19230-1Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
2022-05-25Železničar Pančevo1-3Radnicki 1923Super Liga
2021-02-20Železničar Pančevo0-1Radnicki 1923Prva Liga
2020-08-15Radnicki 19233-1Železničar PančevoPrva Liga

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Radnicki 1923 to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Radnicki 1923