Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar preview
Radnicki 1923 faces Novi Pazar with a 49% chance of winning, while Novi Pazar has a 22% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance of occurring. Radnicki 1923 has an expected goals figure of 1.47 compared to Novi Pazar's 0.91, indicating a stronger offensive performance.
However, both teams to score stands at 47%, suggesting that there is a possibility of Novi Pazar finding the net. Recent form shows Radnicki 1923 with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Novi Pazar has 2 wins in the same number of games. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki 1923 | Draw | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Radnicki 1923 and Novi Pazar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (Radnicki 1923 / Novi Pazar)
- 1.08 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Radnicki 1923 / Novi Pazar)
- 0.92 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki 1923 goals. Columns: Novi Pazar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Novi Pazar | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki 1923 or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Novi Pazar) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnicki 1923 win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Radnicki 1923 and Novi Pazar recent form
Radnicki 1923
3W 1D 2L
Novi Pazar
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki 1923 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Novi Pazar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki 1923 at home only, Novi Pazar away only.
Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Radnicki 1923 0 · draws 2 · Novi Pazar 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Novi Pazar | 1-0 | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-23 | Radnicki 1923 | 0-0 | Novi Pazar | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-24 | Novi Pazar | 1-1 | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-11-02
- Radnicki NIS v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Radnicki 1923, previous: Radnicki 1923 – Železničar Pančevo, 2026-10-28
- Novi Pazar, previous: Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar prediction