Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 preview
Železničar Pančevo has a 51% chance to win against Radnicki 1923, who has a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Železničar Pančevo has shown strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 loss, while Radnicki 1923 has 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches.
The model indicates a 46% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score. However, Radnicki 1923's recent inconsistency could lead to an unexpected result. Their expected goals are 0.96, which suggests they may struggle to find the net.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923: model vs market
| Source | Železničar Pančevo | Draw | Radnicki 1923 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Železničar Pančevo, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Železničar Pančevo | 1.80 | 2.05 | +0.25 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.35 | -0.25 |
| Radnicki 1923 | 4.05 | 3.25 | -0.80 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Železničar Pančevo and Radnicki 1923 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Železničar Pančevo / Radnicki 1923)
- 1.12 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Železničar Pančevo / Radnicki 1923)
- 0.74 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Železničar Pančevo goals. Columns: Radnicki 1923 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Radnicki 1923 | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Železničar Pančevo or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Radnicki 1923) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Železničar Pančevo win by 2+ | 26% | 3.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Železničar Pančevo and Radnicki 1923 recent form
Železničar Pančevo
5W 0D 1L
Radnicki 1923
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Železničar Pančevo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnicki 1923 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Železničar Pančevo at home only, Radnicki 1923 away only.
Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Železničar Pančevo 4 · draws 2 · Radnicki 1923 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Radnicki 1923 | 1-2 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-29 | Železničar Pančevo | 1-0 | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-27 | Radnicki 1923 | 1-1 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2024-11-24 | Železničar Pančevo | 1-1 | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga |
| 2024-07-19 | Radnicki 1923 | 2-3 | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| 2024-03-13 | Radnicki 1923 | 3-0 | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| 2023-10-01 | Železničar Pančevo | 0-2 | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga |
| 2022-05-29 | Radnicki 1923 | 0-1 | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| 2022-05-25 | Železničar Pančevo | 1-3 | Radnicki 1923 | Super Liga |
| 2021-02-20 | Železničar Pančevo | 0-1 | Radnicki 1923 | Prva Liga |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Cukaricki v Radnicki NIS — match page 2026-11-07
- Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani 2026-11-08
- Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FK Partizan vs Macva 2026-11-08
- Vojvodina v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Železničar Pančevo, previous: Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo: odds and pick
- Radnicki 1923, previous: Radnicki 1923 v Novi Pazar analysis