Updated

Serbia Super Liga · Matchday 15Postponed

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

· Karađorđe Stadium, Novi Sad

Alin prediction FK Crvena Zvezda to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
VojvodinaDrawFK Crvena Zvezda
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FK Crvena Zvezda is the favourite, not a value bet.

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVojvodinaDrawFK Crvena Zvezda
Model43%25%32%
Market25%24%51%
Published30%24%47%
Edge+4%0%-5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FK Crvena Zvezda, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.80Now 1.71 -0.09
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Vojvodina3.623.93+0.31
Draw3.983.88-0.10
FK Crvena Zvezda1.801.71-0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Vojvodina and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.81Vojvodina
1.49FK Crvena Zvezda
Total expected goals
3.31
Attack rating (Vojvodina / FK Crvena Zvezda)
1.38 / 1.61
Defence rating (Vojvodina / FK Crvena Zvezda)
0.82 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 4.5% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 1 5.7% 10.9% 7.4% 3.7% 1.9% 2 6.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.7% 3 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 4+ 2.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7%

Rows: Vojvodina goals. Columns: FK Crvena Zvezda goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vojvodina30%3.37
Draw24%4.20
FK Crvena Zvezda47%2.15
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.55
Under 2.536%2.82
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.51
No34%2.97
Double chance1X (Vojvodina or draw)53%1.87
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or FK Crvena Zvezda)70%1.42
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win by 2+15%6.72
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Vojvodina and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form

Vojvodina 4W 2D 0L
FK Crvena Zvezda 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vojvodina at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Win rate
86%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.43
Clean sheets
4 of 7
  • They have won 9 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Crvena Zvezda away

Record (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Win rate
86%
Goals for / match
1.86
Goals against / match
0.43
Clean sheets
5 of 7
  • They have won 12 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vojvodina at home only, FK Crvena Zvezda away only.

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Vojvodina 2 · draws 0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 2.

VojvodinaDrawsFK Crvena Zvezda
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-26FK Crvena Zvezda3-1VojvodinaSerbia Super Liga
2026-04-18FK Crvena Zvezda4-1VojvodinaSerbia Super Liga
2025-12-07FK Crvena Zvezda0-1VojvodinaSerbia Super Liga
2025-10-30Vojvodina3-2FK Crvena ZvezdaSerbia Super Liga

Other Matchday 15 fixtures

Before and after this match