Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS preview
Cukaricki has a 53% chance to win against Radnicki NIS, who has a 22% chance, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0 at 12%. Cukaricki's expected goals stand at 2.07, while Radnicki NIS has only 0.79.
Cukaricki's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, while Radnicki NIS has lost 4 of their last 5 games. The model suggests a 54% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score. A surprising performance from Radnicki NIS could change the outcome, especially given their head-to-head record of 6 wins for Cukaricki in the last 10 encounters.
Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS: model vs market
| Source | Cukaricki | Draw | Radnicki NIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 19% |
| Published | 59% | 24% | 18% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cukaricki below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cukaricki, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki | 1.91 | 1.63 | -0.28 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.75 | +0.23 |
| Radnicki NIS | 3.70 | 4.75 | +1.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cukaricki and Radnicki NIS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (Cukaricki / Radnicki NIS)
- 1.00 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Cukaricki / Radnicki NIS)
- 0.97 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cukaricki goals. Columns: Radnicki NIS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Radnicki NIS | 18% | 5.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cukaricki or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Radnicki NIS) | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cukaricki win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cukaricki and Radnicki NIS recent form
Cukaricki
2W 3D 1L
Radnicki NIS
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cukaricki at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Radnicki NIS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 13 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cukaricki at home only, Radnicki NIS away only.
Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cukaricki 6 · draws 3 · Radnicki NIS 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Radnicki NIS | 0-2 | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-12-08 | Radnicki NIS | 1-2 | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-03 | Cukaricki | 1-1 | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-04-13 | Cukaricki | 2-2 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2025-03-12 | Cukaricki | 0-2 | Radnicki NIS | Cup |
| 2024-11-23 | Radnicki NIS | 2-2 | Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| 2024-07-20 | Cukaricki | 2-0 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2023-11-26 | Radnicki NIS | 0-2 | Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| 2023-07-29 | Cukaricki | 2-0 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2023-04-02 | Radnicki NIS | 0-2 | Cukaricki | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 2026-11-07
- Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani 2026-11-08
- Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FK Partizan vs Macva 2026-11-08
- Vojvodina v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Cukaricki, previous: IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki: odds and pick
- Radnicki NIS, previous: Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo: odds and pick