IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki preview
In the Serbia Super Liga match between IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki, the 1X2 probabilities show IMT Novi Beograd at 47%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 14%. Cukaricki has a 22% chance of winning, which highlights their lower expected goals of 0.81 compared to IMT's 1.32.
While both teams to score stands at 42%, the recent form indicates IMT's inconsistency with L-W-W-D-L-D, and Cukaricki's mixed results of W-W-D-L-D-L. If Cukaricki improves their attacking output, it could challenge the predicted scoreline and the likelihood of a low-scoring game.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki: model vs market
| Source | IMT Novi Beograd | Draw | Cukaricki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.81.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (IMT Novi Beograd / Cukaricki)
- 0.84 / 1.08
- Defence rating (IMT Novi Beograd / Cukaricki)
- 0.67 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IMT Novi Beograd goals. Columns: Cukaricki goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Cukaricki | 22% | 4.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IMT Novi Beograd or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Cukaricki) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | IMT Novi Beograd win by 2+ | 23% | 4.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki recent form
IMT Novi Beograd
2W 2D 2L
Cukaricki
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IMT Novi Beograd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cukaricki away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: IMT Novi Beograd at home only, Cukaricki away only.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: IMT Novi Beograd 1 · draws 1 · Cukaricki 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Cukaricki | 0-1 | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-28 | Cukaricki | 1-1 | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-27 | IMT Novi Beograd | 1-3 | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda 2026-10-31
- OFK Beograd vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Radnicki 1923 v Novi Pazar — match page 2026-11-01
- FK Partizan vs Zemun — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-11-02
- Radnicki NIS v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- IMT Novi Beograd, previous: IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo prediction
- Cukaricki, previous: FK Partizan v Cukaricki analysis