FK Partizan vs Zemun preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between FK Partizan and Zemun, FK Partizan has a 64% chance to win, while Zemun sits at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 12% probability. FK Partizan has an expected goals figure of 2.00 compared to Zemun's 0.82, indicating a strong attacking potential.
However, recent form shows FK Partizan with three losses in their last six matches, while Zemun has a win in their last outing. This could impact the game, as both teams to score stands at 49%, suggesting that Zemun may find the net. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
FK Partizan vs Zemun: model vs market
| Source | FK Partizan | Draw | Zemun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| Published | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| Edge | -4% | +2% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.82.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.18, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FK Partizan and Zemun expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (FK Partizan / Zemun)
- 1.03 / 0.59
- Defence rating (FK Partizan / Zemun)
- 1.22 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Partizan vs Zemun score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Partizan goals. Columns: Zemun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Partizan vs Zemun goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Partizan vs Zemun
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Partizan | 76% | 1.31 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.33 | |
| Zemun | 8% | 12.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Partizan or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Zemun) | 24% | 4.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Partizan win by 2+ | 40% | 2.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FK Partizan and Zemun recent form
FK Partizan
1W 1D 4L
Zemun
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Partizan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
Zemun away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Partizan at home only, Zemun away only.
FK Partizan vs Zemun head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: FK Partizan 0 · draws 1 · Zemun 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Zemun | 2-2 | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda 2026-10-31
- IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- OFK Beograd vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Radnicki 1923 v Novi Pazar — match page 2026-11-01
- Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-11-02
- Radnicki NIS v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- FK Partizan, previous: Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan: odds and pick
- Zemun, previous: Zemun v Macva analysis