Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd preview
In the match between Zemun and IMT Novi Beograd, the 1X2 probabilities show IMT Novi Beograd at 57%, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1 at 21%. Zemun's recent form includes 1 win in their last 6 matches, while IMT Novi Beograd has 2 wins in the same period.
The expected goals indicate Zemun at 0.51 and IMT Novi Beograd at 1.19, suggesting a strong chance for the visitors to score. However, if Zemun can improve their attacking play beyond their recent form, they might challenge the predicted outcome. The low percentages for Over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 29% further highlight the expectation of a tight match.
Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd: model vs market
| Source | Zemun | Draw | IMT Novi Beograd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 33% | 52% |
| Market | 19% | 26% | 55% |
| Published | 18% | 28% | 55% |
| Edge | -1% | +2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on IMT Novi Beograd, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zemun | 5.36 | 4.90 | -0.46 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.58 | -0.32 |
| IMT Novi Beograd | 1.57 | 1.66 | +0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zemun and IMT Novi Beograd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.70
- Attack rating (Zemun / IMT Novi Beograd)
- 0.54 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Zemun / IMT Novi Beograd)
- 1.37 / 0.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zemun goals. Columns: IMT Novi Beograd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 29%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemun | 18% | 5.63 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| IMT Novi Beograd | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29% | 3.47 |
| No | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zemun or draw) | 45% | 2.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or IMT Novi Beograd) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | IMT Novi Beograd win by 2+ | 24% | 4.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zemun and IMT Novi Beograd recent form
Zemun
1W 2D 3L
IMT Novi Beograd
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zemun at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 14 matches.
IMT Novi Beograd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zemun at home only, IMT Novi Beograd away only.
Zemun vs IMT Novi Beograd head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zemun 0 · draws 1 · IMT Novi Beograd 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4-0 | Zemun | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2021-04-07 | IMT Novi Beograd | 2-0 | Zemun | Prva Liga |
| 2020-10-02 | Zemun | 0-0 | IMT Novi Beograd | Prva Liga |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Cukaricki v Radnicki NIS — match page 2026-11-07
- Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923 2026-11-07
- Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani 2026-11-08
- Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FK Partizan vs Macva 2026-11-08
- Vojvodina v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Zemun, previous: FK Partizan – Zemun, 2026-11-01
- IMT Novi Beograd, previous: IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki: odds and pick