Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica, the 1X2 probabilities show Radnicki 1923 at 57% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
Radnicki 1923's expected goals stand at 2.04, while Radnik Surdulica has an expected goals figure of 1.15. Recent form shows Radnicki 1923 with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Radnik Surdulica has also secured 3 wins but has been less consistent. If Radnik Surdulica improves their scoring, it could challenge the expected outcomes.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki 1923 | Draw | Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.24.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Radnicki 1923 / Radnik Surdulica)
- 1.12 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Radnicki 1923 / Radnik Surdulica)
- 1.02 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki 1923 goals. Columns: Radnik Surdulica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki 1923 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Radnik Surdulica | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki 1923 or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Radnik Surdulica) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Radnicki 1923 win by 2+ | 28% | 3.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Radnicki 1923 and Radnik Surdulica recent form
Radnicki 1923
2W 2D 2L
Radnik Surdulica
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki 1923 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnik Surdulica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki 1923 at home only, Radnik Surdulica away only.
Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Radnicki 1923 1 · draws 1 · Radnik Surdulica 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Radnicki 1923 | 0-0 | Radnik Surdulica | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-09-13 | Radnik Surdulica | 2-3 | Radnicki 1923 | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar 2026-10-24
- OFK Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-10-24
- Zemun vs Macva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- IMT Novi Beograd v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Radnicki 1923, previous: Vojvodina vs Radnicki 1923 prediction
- Radnik Surdulica, previous: Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS prediction