Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar, the 1X2 probabilities show Radnicki NIS at 30%, a draw at 33%, and Novi Pazar at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Radnicki NIS has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-W-L-D, while Novi Pazar has a slightly better form of L-D-D-W-D-L.
The expected goals indicate Radnicki NIS at 0.98 and Novi Pazar at 1.12. There is a 35% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance for both teams to score. These figures suggest that while Novi Pazar has an edge, unexpected performances from Radnicki NIS could alter the outcome.
Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki NIS | Draw | Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.15
- Attack rating (Radnicki NIS / Novi Pazar)
- 0.68 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Radnicki NIS / Novi Pazar)
- 1.21 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki NIS goals. Columns: Novi Pazar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki NIS | 32% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Novi Pazar | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| No | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki NIS or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Novi Pazar) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Novi Pazar win by 2+ | 15% | 6.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Radnicki NIS and Novi Pazar recent form
Radnicki NIS
1W 1D 4L
Novi Pazar
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki NIS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Novi Pazar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki NIS at home only, Novi Pazar away only.
Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Radnicki NIS 0 · draws 0 · Novi Pazar 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Novi Pazar | 1-0 | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-10 | Radnicki NIS | 2-3 | Novi Pazar | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Partizan v Cukaricki — match page 2026-10-24
- Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- OFK Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-10-24
- Zemun vs Macva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-10-24
- IMT Novi Beograd v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Radnicki NIS, previous: Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS prediction
- Novi Pazar, previous: Novi Pazar v IMT Novi Beograd analysis