Zemun vs Macva preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between Zemun and Macva, the 1X2 probabilities show Zemun at 36%, Macva at 33%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which has a 10% chance of occurring. Zemun's expected goals are 0.94, while Macva's are higher at 1.19, indicating they may have the edge in attacking potential.
However, the prediction could be challenged if both teams score, which our model estimates at 44%. Zemun's recent form shows a struggle with 6 matches yielding only 1 draw, while Macva has managed 3 draws in their last 6 games. This inconsistency could impact the final outcome of the match.
Zemun vs Macva: model vs market
| Source | Zemun | Draw | Macva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Published | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Edge | -12% | +2% | +9% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zemun vs Macva odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zemun, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zemun | 2.41 | 2.41 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.18 | 3.18 | +0.00 |
| Macva | 3.08 | 3.08 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zemun and Macva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (Zemun / Macva)
- 0.56 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Zemun / Macva)
- 1.42 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zemun vs Macva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zemun goals. Columns: Macva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zemun vs Macva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zemun vs Macva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zemun | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Macva | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.29 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zemun or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Macva) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zemun win by 2+ | 10% | 9.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zemun and Macva recent form
Zemun
0W 2D 4L
Macva
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zemun at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
Macva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zemun at home only, Macva away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Partizan v Cukaricki — match page 2026-10-24
- Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar 2026-10-24
- OFK Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-10-24
- Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-10-24
- IMT Novi Beograd v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Zemun, previous: Cukaricki vs Zemun: odds and pick
- Macva, previous: Macva – OFK Beograd, 2026-10-17