Cukaricki vs Zemun preview
Cukaricki faces Zemun with a 65% chance of winning, while Zemun has only a 14% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has an 11% probability. Cukaricki's expected goals stand at 1.77, compared to Zemun's 0.90, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Cukaricki's last five matches yielding 1 draw and 4 losses, while Zemun has 1 draw and 4 losses. The model suggests a 50% chance for Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. However, if Zemun improves their form, they could challenge Cukaricki's dominance in this matchup.
Cukaricki vs Zemun: model vs market
| Source | Cukaricki | Draw | Zemun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Published | 65% | 21% | 14% |
| Edge | -11% | +5% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.90.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Cukaricki vs Zemun odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cukaricki, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki | 1.35 | 1.36 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.00 |
| Zemun | 7.40 | 7.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cukaricki and Zemun expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Cukaricki / Zemun)
- 0.87 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Cukaricki / Zemun)
- 1.28 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cukaricki vs Zemun score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cukaricki goals. Columns: Zemun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cukaricki vs Zemun goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cukaricki vs Zemun
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cukaricki | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | |
| Zemun | 14% | 7.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cukaricki or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Zemun) | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cukaricki win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cukaricki and Zemun recent form
Cukaricki
0W 2D 4L
Zemun
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cukaricki at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemun away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cukaricki at home only, Zemun away only.
Cukaricki vs Zemun head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Cukaricki 2 · draws 1 · Zemun 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-10 | Zemun | 0-3 | Cukaricki | Super Liga |
| 2018-07-21 | Cukaricki | 1-1 | Zemun | Super Liga |
| 2017-12-04 | Cukaricki | 4-1 | Zemun | Super Liga |
| 2017-08-13 | Zemun | 2-0 | Cukaricki | Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923 — match page 2026-10-17
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani 2026-10-17
- Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd 2026-10-17
- Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan 2026-10-17
- Macva vs OFK Beograd — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Cukaricki, previous: Cukaricki – Macva, 2026-10-10
- Zemun, previous: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo: odds and pick