Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between Železničar Pančevo and FK Partizan, the model gives Železničar Pančevo a 50% chance to win, while FK Partizan has a 27% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model also suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 69%.
Železničar Pančevo's expected goals are 2.10, compared to FK Partizan's 1.51. Recent form shows Železničar Pančevo with a mixed record of W-L-W-L-W-L, while FK Partizan has D-L-L-W-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan: model vs market
| Source | Železničar Pančevo | Draw | FK Partizan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 39% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | +18% | -3% | -15% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Železničar Pančevo below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.68, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Železničar Pančevo, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Železničar Pančevo | 2.60 | 2.60 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
| FK Partizan | 2.38 | 2.38 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Železničar Pančevo and FK Partizan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (Železničar Pančevo / FK Partizan)
- 1.13 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Železničar Pančevo / FK Partizan)
- 0.88 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Železničar Pančevo goals. Columns: FK Partizan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Železničar Pančevo | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| FK Partizan | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Železničar Pančevo or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Partizan) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Železničar Pančevo win by 2+ | 32% | 3.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Železničar Pančevo and FK Partizan recent form
Železničar Pančevo
4W 0D 2L
FK Partizan
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Železničar Pančevo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
FK Partizan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Železničar Pančevo at home only, FK Partizan away only.
Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Železničar Pančevo 1 · draws 0 · FK Partizan 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | FK Partizan | 2-1 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-22 | FK Partizan | 1-3 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-07-20 | Železničar Pančevo | 0-1 | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Cukaricki v Zemun — match page 2026-10-17
- Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923 — match page 2026-10-17
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lucani 2026-10-17
- Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Beograd 2026-10-17
- Macva vs OFK Beograd — team news & stats 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Železničar Pančevo, previous: Zemun vs Železničar Pančevo: odds and pick
- FK Partizan, previous: FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar prediction