FK Partizan vs Cukaricki preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture between FK Partizan and Cukaricki, the 1X2 probabilities show FK Partizan at 58%, while both teams are tied at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. FK Partizan has an expected goals figure of 2.31, compared to Cukaricki's 1.38, indicating a strong offensive performance from the home side.
However, Cukaricki has a recent head-to-head advantage, with 1 win and 2 draws in their last 3 encounters against FK Partizan. While our model suggests a high likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 68%, Cukaricki's ability to disrupt FK Partizan's form could lead to a different outcome.
FK Partizan vs Cukaricki: model vs market
| Source | FK Partizan | Draw | Cukaricki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FK Partizan and Cukaricki expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.38
- Attack rating (FK Partizan / Cukaricki)
- 1.16 / 1.01
- Defence rating (FK Partizan / Cukaricki)
- 1.18 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Partizan vs Cukaricki score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Partizan goals. Columns: Cukaricki goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Partizan vs Cukaricki goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Partizan vs Cukaricki
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Partizan | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Cukaricki | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Partizan or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Cukaricki) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Partizan win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FK Partizan and Cukaricki recent form
FK Partizan
2W 1D 3L
Cukaricki
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Partizan at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cukaricki away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Partizan at home only, Cukaricki away only.
FK Partizan vs Cukaricki head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FK Partizan 0 · draws 2 · Cukaricki 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Cukaricki | 0-0 | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2026-04-05 | FK Partizan | 0-0 | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-11-01 | Cukaricki | 4-1 | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar 2026-10-24
- OFK Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-10-24
- Zemun vs Macva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-10-24
- IMT Novi Beograd v Železničar Pančevo — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- FK Partizan, previous: Železničar Pančevo – FK Partizan, 2026-10-18
- Cukaricki, previous: Cukaricki vs Zemun: odds and pick