Updated

Serbia Super Liga · Matchday 13

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina

Alin prediction Vojvodina to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Mladost LucaniDrawVojvodina

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina preview

In the Serbia Super Liga fixture, Mladost Lucani faces Vojvodina with 31% chances for Mladost to win, 28% for a draw, and 41% for Vojvodina to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Vojvodina's expected goals of 1.49 compared to Mladost's 1.27.

Both teams to score stands at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 52%. Mladost's recent form shows D-W-L-W-L-W, while Vojvodina is on a strong run with W-D-W-W-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions. A draw or a lower-scoring match could challenge the expected outcomes.

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMladost LucaniDrawVojvodina
Model21%24%55%
Market———
Published21%24%55%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Mladost Lucani and Vojvodina expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.12Mladost Lucani
1.94Vojvodina
Total expected goals
3.07
Attack rating (Mladost Lucani / Vojvodina)
0.80 / 1.45
Defence rating (Mladost Lucani / Vojvodina)
1.18 / 0.91

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.7% 8.0% 8.8% 5.7% 4.3% 1 4.2% 11.2% 9.9% 6.4% 4.9% 2 2.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.6% 2.7% 3 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.3% 1.0% 4+ 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4%

Rows: Mladost Lucani goals. Columns: Vojvodina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Mladost Lucani21%4.85
Draw24%4.18
Vojvodina55%1.80
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.69
Under 2.541%2.45
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.70
No41%2.43
Double chance1X (Mladost Lucani or draw)45%2.24
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Vojvodina)79%1.26
Handicap -1Vojvodina win by 2+33%3.01
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Mladost Lucani and Vojvodina recent form

Mladost Lucani 2W 1D 3L
Vojvodina 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Mladost Lucani at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Vojvodina away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.60
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Mladost Lucani at home only, Vojvodina away only.

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Mladost Lucani 0 · draws 1 · Vojvodina 1.

Mladost LucaniDrawsVojvodina
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-08Vojvodina5-0Mladost LucaniSerbia Super Liga
2025-08-30Mladost Lucani0-0VojvodinaSerbia Super Liga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Vojvodina to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Vojvodina