IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo preview
In the Serbia Super Liga match between IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo, the 1X2 probabilities show IMT at 41%, a draw at 34%, and Železničar at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance. IMT has an expected goals figure of 1.08, while Železničar has 0.76.
Železničar Pančevo has won both of their last two encounters against IMT. While both teams to score stands at 37%, the recent form indicates IMT's inconsistency with a W-D-L-D-W-L record compared to Železničar's stronger W-W-L-W-L-W. These factors could impact the match outcome and the accuracy of the predictions.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo: model vs market
| Source | IMT Novi Beograd | Draw | Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.78.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.88
- Attack rating (IMT Novi Beograd / Železničar Pančevo)
- 0.90 / 1.09
- Defence rating (IMT Novi Beograd / Železničar Pančevo)
- 0.63 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IMT Novi Beograd goals. Columns: Železničar Pančevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Železničar Pančevo | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.67 |
| No | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IMT Novi Beograd or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or Železničar Pančevo) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | IMT Novi Beograd win by 2+ | 18% | 5.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
IMT Novi Beograd and Železničar Pančevo recent form
IMT Novi Beograd
3W 2D 1L
Železničar Pančevo
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IMT Novi Beograd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Železničar Pančevo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: IMT Novi Beograd at home only, Železničar Pančevo away only.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: IMT Novi Beograd 0 · draws 0 · Železničar Pančevo 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Železničar Pančevo | 1-0 | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 1-4 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Partizan v Cukaricki — match page 2026-10-24
- Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar 2026-10-24
- OFK Beograd v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page 2026-10-24
- Zemun vs Macva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Radnicki 1923 vs Radnik Surdulica 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- IMT Novi Beograd, previous: Novi Pazar v IMT Novi Beograd analysis
- Železničar Pančevo, previous: Železničar Pančevo – FK Partizan, 2026-10-18