Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan preview
In the Serbia Super Liga, Radnicki NIS faces FK Partizan with a 1X2 probability of 25% for Radnicki NIS, 25% for a draw, and 50% for FK Partizan. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs at a rate of 9%. Both teams to score stands at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 49%.
Radnicki NIS has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-L-L-W-L, while FK Partizan has L-L-W-D-L-L. This could affect the outcome, as Radnicki NIS has only 1 win in their last 9 encounters against FK Partizan, who have 5 wins in that same span. The expected goals are 1.16 for Radnicki NIS and 1.48 for FK Partizan, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki NIS | Draw | FK Partizan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 52% |
| Published | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.16.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Radnicki NIS / FK Partizan)
- 0.63 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Radnicki NIS / FK Partizan)
- 1.27 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki NIS goals. Columns: FK Partizan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki NIS | 25% | 4.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| FK Partizan | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki NIS or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or FK Partizan) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Partizan win by 2+ | 22% | 4.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Radnicki NIS and FK Partizan recent form
Radnicki NIS
1W 0D 5L
FK Partizan
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki NIS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
FK Partizan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki NIS at home only, FK Partizan away only.
Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Radnicki NIS 1 · draws 3 · FK Partizan 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | FK Partizan | 0-0 | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-24 | Radnicki NIS | 2-2 | FK Partizan | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2024-12-21 | Radnicki NIS | 0-1 | FK Partizan | Super Liga |
| 2024-12-04 | FK Partizan | 3-1 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2023-12-11 | Radnicki NIS | 2-1 | FK Partizan | Super Liga |
| 2023-08-13 | FK Partizan | 2-1 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2022-10-30 | FK Partizan | 4-0 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
| 2022-07-15 | Radnicki NIS | 3-3 | FK Partizan | Super Liga |
| 2022-05-22 | FK Partizan | 2-0 | Radnicki NIS | Super Liga |
Before and after this match
- Radnicki NIS, previous: Radnicki NIS vs Novi Pazar prediction
- Radnicki NIS, next: Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo: odds and pick
- FK Partizan, previous: FK Partizan v Cukaricki analysis
- FK Partizan, next: FK Partizan – Zemun, 2026-11-01