Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers preview
In the K League 1 match between Bucheon FC 1995 and Pohang Steelers, the 1X2 probabilities show Pohang Steelers at 41%, while Bucheon FC 1995 sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Pohang's expected goals of 1.31 compared to Bucheon's 1.07.
Both teams to score has a probability of 49%, indicating a close match. However, Bucheon FC 1995's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses and only 1 draw in their last 6 matches. This could impact their performance against a Pohang Steelers side that has shown more resilience, with 3 draws and 1 win in their last 6 games.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers: model vs market
| Source | Bucheon FC 1995 | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Published | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pohang Steelers, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 2.96 | 2.98 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.24 | 3.24 | +0.00 |
| Pohang Steelers | 2.35 | 2.34 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bucheon FC 1995 and Pohang Steelers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.35
- Attack rating (Bucheon FC 1995 / Pohang Steelers)
- 0.77 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Bucheon FC 1995 / Pohang Steelers)
- 1.41 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bucheon FC 1995 goals. Columns: Pohang Steelers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Pohang Steelers | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bucheon FC 1995 or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Pohang Steelers) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pohang Steelers win by 2+ | 19% | 5.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bucheon FC 1995 and Pohang Steelers recent form
Bucheon FC 1995
0W 1D 5L
Pohang Steelers
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bucheon FC 1995 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-8
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.61
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
- They have won 7 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pohang Steelers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-7
- Win rate
- 37%
- Goals for / match
- 1.26
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 19
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bucheon FC 1995 at home only, Pohang Steelers away only.
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Bucheon FC 1995 2 · draws 1 · Pohang Steelers 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 3-0 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 2-0 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Pohang Steelers | 0-0 | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
Other Relegation Group - 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Bucheon FC 1995, previous: FC Anyang v Bucheon FC 1995 analysis
- Pohang Steelers, previous: Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC prediction