Updated

K League 1 · Relegation Group - 34

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995

· Anyang Stadium, Anyang

Alin prediction FC Anyang to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC AnyangDrawBucheon FC 1995
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.11.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview

In the K League 1 fixture between FC Anyang and Bucheon FC 1995, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Anyang at 47%, while Bucheon FC 1995 sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance. FC Anyang has a stronger expected goals figure at 1.59 compared to Bucheon FC 1995's 1.11, indicating a potential advantage.

However, both teams to score stands at 55%, suggesting that Bucheon FC 1995 could find the net despite their recent struggles, which include 5 losses in their last 6 matches. Additionally, FC Anyang's recent form shows some inconsistency with 3 draws in their last 5 games. These factors could influence the outcome and the expected goal totals.

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC AnyangDrawBucheon FC 1995
Model47%27%25%
Market———
Published47%27%25%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

FC Anyang and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.59FC Anyang
1.11Bucheon FC 1995
Total expected goals
2.71
Attack rating (FC Anyang / Bucheon FC 1995)
0.87 / 0.78
Defence rating (FC Anyang / Bucheon FC 1995)
1.17 / 1.42

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.9% 6.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5% 1 9.4% 13.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.9% 2 8.5% 9.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.7% 3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4% 4+ 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: FC Anyang goals. Columns: Bucheon FC 1995 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Anyang47%2.11
Draw27%3.66
Bucheon FC 199525%3.94
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.97
Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.21
Double chance1X (FC Anyang or draw)75%1.34
12 (either side)73%1.38
X2 (draw or Bucheon FC 1995)53%1.90
Handicap -1FC Anyang win by 2+25%3.97
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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FC Anyang and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form

FC Anyang 2W 3D 1L
Bucheon FC 1995 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Anyang at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.12
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 16
  • They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bucheon FC 1995 away

Record (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Win rate
27%
Goals for / match
0.93
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
4 of 15
  • They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Anyang at home only, Bucheon FC 1995 away only.

FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC Anyang 5 · draws 4 · Bucheon FC 1995 1.

FC AnyangDrawsBucheon FC 1995
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-29Bucheon FC 19951-1FC AnyangK League 1
2026-07-22Bucheon FC 19952-3FC AnyangK League 1
2026-05-02FC Anyang0-1Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
2024-11-02Bucheon FC 19950-0FC AnyangK League 2
2024-06-30Bucheon FC 19951-2FC AnyangK League 2
2024-04-10FC Anyang3-0Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
2023-10-21Bucheon FC 19951-1FC AnyangK League 2
2023-06-03FC Anyang2-2Bucheon FC 1995K League 2
2023-04-08Bucheon FC 19952-4FC AnyangK League 2
2022-10-08FC Anyang1-0Bucheon FC 1995K League 2

Other Relegation Group - 34 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC Anyang to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on FC Anyang