Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC preview
In the K League 1 fixture between Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Jeju United FC at 46%, compared to Pohang Steelers at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 10% chance. Jeju United FC's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Pohang Steelers have drawn 4 of their last 6 games.
The expected goals are 1.08 for Pohang Steelers and 1.50 for Jeju United FC, suggesting Jeju United FC may have the edge in finishing. However, with both teams to score at 53% and Over 2.5 goals at 48%, the match could see more action than predicted, especially considering their balanced head-to-head record of 4 wins each.
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC: model vs market
| Source | Pohang Steelers | Draw | Jeju United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Pohang Steelers / Jeju United FC)
- 0.74 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Pohang Steelers / Jeju United FC)
- 1.12 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pohang Steelers goals. Columns: Jeju United FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pohang Steelers | 26% | 3.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Jeju United FC | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pohang Steelers or draw) | 54% | 1.85 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Jeju United FC) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Jeju United FC win by 2+ | 24% | 4.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Pohang Steelers and Jeju United FC recent form
Pohang Steelers
1W 4D 1L
Jeju United FC
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pohang Steelers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.79
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeju United FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-6
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pohang Steelers at home only, Jeju United FC away only.
Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Pohang Steelers 4 · draws 2 · Jeju United FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Jeju United FC | 1-2 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Jeju United FC | 2-1 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Pohang Steelers | 0-2 | Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 | Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 | Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Jeju United FC | 2-0 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 | Jeju United FC | FA Cup |
| 2024-08-21 | Jeju United FC | 2-2 | Pohang Steelers | FA Cup |
| 2024-07-13 | Jeju United FC | 2-1 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Pohang Steelers | 1-1 | Jeju United FC | K League 1 |
Other Relegation Group - 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Pohang Steelers, previous: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction
- Jeju United FC, previous: Incheon United v Jeju United FC analysis