Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers preview
In the K League 1 fixture between Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers, the 1X2 probabilities show Ulsan at 55%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Ulsan's expected goals stand at 1.89, while Pohang's is significantly lower at 1.08. This suggests a strong chance for Ulsan to secure a win.
However, recent form indicates Ulsan Hyundai FC has struggled with two losses in their last three matches, while Pohang Steelers has shown some resilience with two draws in their last three. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 57%, which could complicate the outcome if both teams find the net.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers: model vs market
| Source | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Pohang Steelers)
- 1.28 / 0.65
- Defence rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Pohang Steelers)
- 1.12 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ulsan Hyundai FC goals. Columns: Pohang Steelers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| Pohang Steelers | 17% | 5.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Pohang Steelers) | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win by 2+ | 34% | 2.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Pohang Steelers recent form
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3W 1D 2L
Pohang Steelers
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ulsan Hyundai FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-6
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pohang Steelers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-7
- Win rate
- 39%
- Goals for / match
- 1.22
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 18
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ulsan Hyundai FC at home only, Pohang Steelers away only.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 · draws 2 · Pohang Steelers 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Pohang Steelers | 0-2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 0-1 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Pohang Steelers | 1-1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-05-05 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1-1 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Pohang Steelers | 1-0 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC 2026-10-24
- FC Anyang v Jeonbuk Motors — match page 2026-10-24
- Incheon United vs Jeju United FC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC 2026-10-24
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Ulsan Hyundai FC, previous: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: odds and pick
- Pohang Steelers, previous: Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang: odds and pick