Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang: model vs market
| Source | Pohang Steelers | Draw | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Published | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Edge | -14% | +1% | +12% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pohang Steelers, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers | 2.01 | 1.98 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.45 | +0.05 |
| FC Anyang | 3.54 | 3.62 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Pohang Steelers / FC Anyang)
- 0.74 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Pohang Steelers / FC Anyang)
- 1.18 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pohang Steelers goals. Columns: FC Anyang goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pohang Steelers | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| FC Anyang | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pohang Steelers or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Anyang) | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pohang Steelers win by 2+ | 15% | 6.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang recent form
Pohang Steelers
1W 3D 2L
FC Anyang
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pohang Steelers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 0.46
- Goals against / match
- 0.85
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Anyang away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pohang Steelers at home only, FC Anyang away only.
Expected lineups
Pohang Steelers lineup · 4-4-2
- 21 Hwang In-Jae
- 77 Wanderson
- 4 Jeon Min-Gwang
- 20 Park Chan-Yong
- 13 Kang Min-Jun
- 11 Juninho Rocha
- 16 Kim Dong-Jin
- 8 Kim Seung-Ho
- 31 K. Nishiya
- 25 Jorge Luiz
- 18 Cho Sang-Hyeok
Bench: Yun Pyeong-Gook, Ye-Sung Kim, Jin Si-woo, J. Tranziska, Lee Chang-Woo, Shin Kwang-Hoon, Kim Yong-Hak, H. Kim, Jung Han-Min
FC Anyang lineup · 4-3-3
- 23 Kim Jeong-Hoon
- 25 Jae-hyeon Kim
- 21 Kwon Kyung-Won
- 3 J. h. Kim
- 17 Kang Ji-Hoon
- 33 D. Bakker
- 26 Lee Jin-Yong
- 7 Matheus Oliveira
- 10 I. Jukić
- 9 Breno Herculano
- 27 Choi Geon-Joo
Bench: Kim Young-Chan, Kim Jung-Hyun, B. Knežević, Woon Kim, Kim Dong-Jin, Kim Bo-Kyung, Kim Da-Sol, Gang Kim, Chae Hyun-Woo
Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Pohang Steelers 4 · draws 0 · FC Anyang 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | FC Anyang | 2-3 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Pohang Steelers | 0-1 | FC Anyang | K League 1 |
| 2025-08-15 | FC Anyang | 0-1 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2025-05-23 | FC Anyang | 0-2 | Pohang Steelers | K League 1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Pohang Steelers | 2-1 | FC Anyang | K League 1 |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ulsan Hyundai FC v Bucheon FC 1995 — match page 2026-10-17
- Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC 2026-10-18
- FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2026-10-18
- Gangwon FC v Incheon United — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Pohang Steelers, previous: Incheon United v Pohang Steelers analysis
- Pohang Steelers, next: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction
- FC Anyang, previous: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang prediction
- FC Anyang, next: FC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors, 2026-10-24