Updated

K League 1 · Relegation Group - 35

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang

· Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring· Referee Kim Woo-sung

Full time1 – 0

Alin prediction was Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDrawFC Anyang

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGimcheon Sangmu FCDrawFC Anyang
Model41%30%29%
Market43%27%29%
Published43%28%29%
Edge-1%+1%0%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 2.10Now 2.15 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gimcheon Sangmu FC2.102.15+0.05
Draw3.483.44-0.04
FC Anyang3.253.17-0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.31Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.06FC Anyang
Total expected goals
2.37
Attack rating (Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FC Anyang)
0.90 / 0.91
Defence rating (Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FC Anyang)
0.95 / 1.13

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.7% 8.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 1 11.0% 14.3% 6.9% 2.4% 0.8% 2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 3 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals. Columns: FC Anyang goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gimcheon Sangmu FC43%2.34
Draw28%3.58
FC Anyang29%3.41
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.37
Under 2.558%1.73
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.04
No51%1.96
Double chance1X (Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or FC Anyang)57%1.75
Handicap -1Gimcheon Sangmu FC win by 2+19%5.18
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang recent form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1W 3D 2L
FC Anyang 3W 3D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-10-5
Win rate
6%
Goals for / match
0.94
Goals against / match
1.44
Clean sheets
2 of 16
  • They have won 5 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Anyang away

Record (W-D-L)
6-7-4
Win rate
35%
Goals for / match
1.29
Goals against / match
1.18
Clean sheets
5 of 17
  • They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gimcheon Sangmu FC at home only, FC Anyang away only.

Expected lineups

Gimcheon Sangmu FC lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 51 Ahn Joon-Soo
  2. 44 Park Min-Seo
  3. 33 Park Jin-Seong
  4. 5 Kim Min-Kyu
  5. 48 Hong Yun-Sang
  6. 56 Lee Kang-Hyun
  7. 55 Park Tae-Jun
  8. 50 Kang Ju-Hyeok
  9. 49 M. Kang
  10. 47 Lee Sang-Heon

Bench: Kim In-Gyun, Park Man-Ho, Chung Ma-Ho, Roh Kyung-Ho, Yoon Jae-Seok, Jeong Jae-Min, Kim Jin-Ho, Lee Sang-Hyeok, Heo Yool

FC Anyang lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 23 Kim Jeong-Hoon
  2. 22 Kim Dong-Jin
  3. 21 Kwon Kyung-Won
  4. 3 J. h. Kim
  5. 17 Kang Ji-Hoon
  6. 18 B. Knežević
  7. 33 D. Bakker
  8. 7 Matheus Oliveira
  9. 10 I. Jukić
  10. 19 Woon Kim
  11. 71 Chae Hyun-Woo

Bench: Kim Young-Chan, Kim Jung-Hyun, Breno Herculano, Yu Jeong-Wan, Kim Bo-Kyung, Jae-hyeon Kim, Choi Geon-Joo, Kim Da-Sol, Lee Tae-Hee

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3 · draws 4 · FC Anyang 3.

Gimcheon Sangmu FCDrawsFC Anyang
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-10-10Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-1FC AnyangK League 1
2026-05-13FC Anyang2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
2026-04-12Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1FC AnyangK League 1
2025-10-18FC Anyang4-1Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
2025-06-22Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-0FC AnyangK League 1
2025-03-08FC Anyang1-3Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
2023-09-23Gimcheon Sangmu FC4-1FC AnyangK League 2
2023-07-31FC Anyang2-0Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 2
2023-05-13Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-0FC AnyangK League 2
2021-10-09FC Anyang2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 2

Other Relegation Group - 35 fixtures

Before and after this match