Updated

K League 1 · Championship Group - 35

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

· Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul· Referee Chae Sang-Hyeop

Full time1 – 2

Alin prediction was FC Seoul to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC SeoulDrawUlsan Hyundai FC

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC SeoulDrawUlsan Hyundai FC
Model43%25%32%
Market49%25%27%
Published47%25%28%
Edge-1%0%+1%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Seoul, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.86Now 1.91 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC Seoul1.861.91+0.05
Draw3.903.79-0.10
Ulsan Hyundai FC3.453.48+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.74FC Seoul
1.48Ulsan Hyundai FC
Total expected goals
3.22
Attack rating (FC Seoul / Ulsan Hyundai FC)
1.21 / 1.33
Defence rating (FC Seoul / Ulsan Hyundai FC)
0.92 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 2.2% 1.1% 1 5.9% 11.3% 7.6% 3.8% 1.9% 2 6.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.7% 3 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 4+ 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6%

Rows: FC Seoul goals. Columns: Ulsan Hyundai FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Seoul47%2.12
Draw25%4.05
Ulsan Hyundai FC28%3.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.60
Under 2.538%2.66
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.55
No35%2.83
Double chance1X (FC Seoul or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Ulsan Hyundai FC)53%1.90
Handicap -1FC Seoul win by 2+23%4.32
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FC Seoul and Ulsan Hyundai FC recent form

FC Seoul 2W 2D 2L
Ulsan Hyundai FC 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Seoul at home

Record (W-D-L)
9-4-4
Win rate
53%
Goals for / match
1.59
Goals against / match
0.88
Clean sheets
8 of 17
  • They have won 20 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ulsan Hyundai FC away

Record (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Win rate
38%
Goals for / match
1.38
Goals against / match
1.31
Clean sheets
3 of 16
  • They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Seoul at home only, Ulsan Hyundai FC away only.

Expected lineups

FC Seoul lineup

  1. 10 Anderson Oliveira
  2. 16 Choi Jun
  3. 25 Gu Sung-Yun
  4. 6 H. Babec
  5. 41 Hwang Do-Yoon
  6. 7 Jeong Seung-Won
  7. 22 Kim Jin-Su
  8. 11 L. Ruiz
  9. 4 Lee Sang-Min
  10. 27 Moon Seon-Min
  11. 5 Yazan Al Arab

Bench: Hyeon-Woo Jeong, Ahn Jae-Min, Cho Young-Wook, Cheon Seong-Hoon, Lee Han-Do, Baek Jong-Beom, Park Seong-Hun, J. Son, Park Jang Han-Gyeol

Ulsan Hyundai FC lineup

  1. 26 Cho Hyun-Taek
  2. 11 Erick Farias
  3. 21 Jo Hyeon-Woo
  4. 15 Jung Seung-Hyun
  5. 19 Kim Young-Gwon
  6. 10 Lee Dong-Gyeong
  7. 14 Lee Jin-Hyun
  8. 66 M. Trojak
  9. 38 Park Yong-Woo
  10. 55 T. Oude Kotte
  11. 2 Yoon Jong-Gyu

Bench: D. Bojanić, Back In-Woo, Yago Cariello

FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC Seoul 3 · draws 3 · Ulsan Hyundai FC 4.

FC SeoulDrawsUlsan Hyundai FC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-08Ulsan Hyundai FC1-0FC SeoulK League 1
2026-07-26FC Seoul1-3Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
2026-04-15Ulsan Hyundai FC1-4FC SeoulK League 1
2025-08-24FC Seoul3-2Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
2025-07-20FC Seoul1-0Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
2025-04-05Ulsan Hyundai FC0-0FC SeoulK League 1
2024-11-10FC Seoul1-1Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
2024-07-13Ulsan Hyundai FC1-0FC SeoulK League 1
2024-06-16Ulsan Hyundai FC2-2FC SeoulK League 1
2024-05-04FC Seoul0-1Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1

Other Championship Group - 35 fixtures

Before and after this match