Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors: model vs market
| Source | Gangwon FC | Draw | Jeonbuk Motors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 30% |
| Published | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gangwon FC, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 2.32 | 2.31 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.18 | +0.02 |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Motors expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Gangwon FC / Jeonbuk Motors)
- 0.91 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Gangwon FC / Jeonbuk Motors)
- 0.95 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gangwon FC goals. Columns: Jeonbuk Motors goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gangwon FC | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gangwon FC or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Jeonbuk Motors) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gangwon FC win by 2+ | 14% | 7.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Motors recent form
Gangwon FC
1W 3D 2L
Jeonbuk Motors
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gangwon FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-9-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.18
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 6 penalties (50%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jeonbuk Motors away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-9-4
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gangwon FC at home only, Jeonbuk Motors away only.
Expected lineups
Gangwon FC lineup · 4-4-2
- 1 Park Cheong-Hyo
- 13 Lee Gi-Hyuk
- 47 Shin Min-Ha
- 24 Park Ho-Young
- 99 Kang Joon-Hyuck
- 7 Kim Dae-Won
- 4 Seo Min-Woo
- 97 Lee You-Hyeon
- 10 Mo Jae-Hyeon
- 11 Goh Young-Jun
- 96 Choe Byeong-Chan
Bench: Jeong Seung-Bin, Kim Dong-Hyun, Kim Gun-Hee, Eun-ho Lee, Park Sang-Hyeok, Hong Jin-Hyeok, Hong Chul, Lee Ji-Ho, A. Halaihal
Jeonbuk Motors lineup · 4-3-3
- 31 Song Bum-Keun
- 66 Choi Woo-Jin
- 5 Park Ji-Soo
- 2 Kim Young-Bin
- 77 Kim Tae-Hyun
- 97 Kim Jin-Gyu
- 16 João Gamboa
- 13 Kang Sang-Yoon
- 10 Lee Seung-Woo
- 96 A. Compagno
- 7 Lee Dong-Jun
Bench: Lee Ju-Hyun, Cho Wi-Je, Maeng Seong-Ung, Tiago Orobó, Kim Seung-Sub, Kim Ha-Jun, Hwang Seung-Jun, Lee Yeong-Jae, Italo
Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Gangwon FC 3 · draws 4 · Jeonbuk Motors 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-2 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Gangwon FC | 1-2 | Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup |
| 2025-08-20 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 | Gangwon FC | FA Cup |
| 2025-07-23 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-0 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-06-13 | Gangwon FC | 0-3 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Jeonbuk Motors | 0-1 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2024-07-26 | Gangwon FC | 4-2 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
Other Championship Group - 35 fixtures
- Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United 2026-11-08
- FC Seoul v Ulsan Hyundai FC — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Gangwon FC, previous: Ulsan Hyundai FC – Gangwon FC, 2026-11-01
- Jeonbuk Motors, previous: Jeonbuk Motors v Daejeon Citizen analysis