Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen preview
In the upcoming match between Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen, the 1X2 probabilities show Daejeon Citizen at 48%, Jeonbuk Motors at 28%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 67%, indicating a strong likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Jeonbuk Motors has an expected goals figure of 1.48, while Daejeon Citizen sits at 1.96. Recent form highlights Jeonbuk Motors with D-W-L-D-L-D, contrasting with Daejeon Citizen's strong W-W-W-D-D-W record. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions, which could affect the outcome.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen: model vs market
| Source | Jeonbuk Motors | Draw | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Jeonbuk Motors / Daejeon Citizen)
- 1.05 / 1.58
- Defence rating (Jeonbuk Motors / Daejeon Citizen)
- 1.02 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Jeonbuk Motors goals. Columns: Daejeon Citizen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 28% | 3.55 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Daejeon Citizen | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Jeonbuk Motors or draw) | 52% | 1.93 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Daejeon Citizen) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Daejeon Citizen win by 2+ | 28% | 3.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Jeonbuk Motors and Daejeon Citizen recent form
Jeonbuk Motors
1W 3D 2L
Daejeon Citizen
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Jeonbuk Motors at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-3-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Daejeon Citizen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.81
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Jeonbuk Motors at home only, Daejeon Citizen away only.
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Jeonbuk Motors 5 · draws 3 · Daejeon Citizen 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Daejeon Citizen | 2-1 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Jeonbuk Motors | 0-0 | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Daejeon Citizen | 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Jeonbuk Motors | 3-1 | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-0 | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| 2025-05-14 | Daejeon Citizen | 2-3 | Jeonbuk Motors | FA Cup |
| 2025-05-06 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Daejeon Citizen | 0-2 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 | Daejeon Citizen | K League 1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Daejeon Citizen | 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors | K League 1 |
Other Championship Group - 34 fixtures
- Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gangwon FC — match page 2026-11-01
- FC Seoul vs Incheon United 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Jeonbuk Motors, previous: FC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors, 2026-10-24
- Daejeon Citizen, previous: Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Daejeon Citizen, 2026-10-24