Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC faces Gangwon FC with a 40% chance of winning, while Gangwon FC has a 32% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs at a rate of 9%. Ulsan's expected goals stand at 1.46 compared to Gangwon's 1.29, suggesting a slight edge for Ulsan in attack.
However, both teams to score is at 57%, indicating that Gangwon could find the net. Ulsan's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Gangwon has 3 draws in their last 6. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC: model vs market
| Source | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Gangwon FC)
- 1.29 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Gangwon FC)
- 1.15 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ulsan Hyundai FC goals. Columns: Gangwon FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Gangwon FC | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Gangwon FC) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win by 2+ | 20% | 5.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Ulsan Hyundai FC and Gangwon FC recent form
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3W 1D 2L
Gangwon FC
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ulsan Hyundai FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-6
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.76
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gangwon FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-6-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ulsan Hyundai FC at home only, Gangwon FC away only.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 · draws 2 · Gangwon FC 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 2-3 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gangwon FC | 2-0 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 3-1 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Gangwon FC | 2-2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1-2 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
Other Championship Group - 34 fixtures
- Jeonbuk Motors v Daejeon Citizen — match page 2026-10-31
- FC Seoul vs Incheon United 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ulsan Hyundai FC, previous: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Pohang Steelers prediction
- Gangwon FC, previous: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC: odds and pick